Translating Without a Judge

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Repository path: workshop/experiments/E-20260810-source-asymmetry/design.md · rendered 2026-09-09

Page metadata (front matter)
typeexperiment
idE-20260810-source-asymmetry
statusfrozen
created2026-08-10
updated2026-08-10
sensesvoice, style-correspondence
internal-judgment-onlytrue
provisionaltrue
linkswiki/arms/ARM-forced-choice.md, wiki/findings/results/RS-20260809d-forced-choice.md, wiki/base/anchors/A-brown-calaveras-address/A-brown-calaveras-address.md, workshop/translations/brown-calaveras/R06-v1/translation.md, config/models.md, config/budget.md

E-20260810-source-asymmetry — does the English carry the relation the translators had to write?

Frozen before dispatch. Session S148 · ARM-forced-choice step 2 of 2 · track T4.

1. Question

RS-20260809d established that seven published hands in three languages over 56 years all wrote a symmetric address grid for the two men of Poe's "The Cask of Amontillado", and that whether the English carries the asymmetry they declined to write is open: its P1 was withheld when the registered speaker-halo gate G2 fired at 0.7917 against a bar of 0.75.

The withheld question, restated on new material:

On the English alone, do the subordinate speaker's turns position him below his interlocutor, relative to the interlocutor's turns — when each turn is read in isolation, with no speaker attribution and no surrounding dialogue?

If yes, a symmetric grid flattens something that is in the source. If no, a symmetric grid loses nothing and the obligatory target category is filled by convention with no source warrant.

2. Why this text and not the previous one

ARM-forced-choice step 1 named two defects a successor must fix, and both are fixed by design rather than by control:

(a) The item-matching defect. RS-20260809d §5a: the four N items of the halo gate differed in length and diction formality, so the gate could not distinguish a speaker halo from its own item selection. This design removes the halo channel instead of controlling it: turns are rated one per call, in isolation, unattributed, with no dialogue context, so there is no speaker for a halo to attach to. The residual confound — length, since the subordinate speaker talks more — is not controlled by hand-picked items either; it is handled by a pre-registered length-matched re-computation (P2, §6) and a reported rank correlation.

(b) The recognition defect. RS-20260809d §5b: 11 of 12 bodies named "The Cask of Amontillado" through the anonymisation. The material is changed and the recognition test is promoted from a reported quantity to a pre-dispatch admission gate that can stop the run (G2, §6).

The text is Bret Harte, "Brown of Calaveras" (Overland Monthly, March 1870): a story by an author who was translated into at least four European languages in his lifetime and is read in none of them now. It carries, inside one story, the contrast the previous material could not supply — a relation English leaves grammatically and lexically unmarked (Hamlin ↔ Brown) and a relation English marks lexically (Hamlin ↔ the hostler: "his fiery patron", "Mr. Hamlin", "Stand aside!"). RS-20260809d §7 names the absence of that second kind as one of its limits.

3. Materials

Anonymisation

Applied by build_items.py from a declared map, to the recognition-gate text and to every rated item alike: Jack → Ned, Hamlin → Carver, Brown → Slade, Kate → Nell, Sue → May, Magnolia → Nugget, Scott's Ferry → Vernon Crossing, Wingdam → Hartley, Calaveras → Tulare. Nothing else is changed; the em-dashed profanity elisions, the dialect spellings and the punctuation are Harte's.

Items

Admission rule, declared before the items were cut: every stretch of direct speech that is (i) spoken by Hamlin or by Brown, (ii) addressed to the other of them, and (iii) two words or longer. This admits 28 items — 8 Hamlin, 20 Brown — and excludes, by the rule and not by taste: ¶22 (addressed to Mrs Brown), ¶46 "Two out of three" (spoken aloud but to nobody), and the one-word turns ¶48 "Nothing", ¶54 "Yes", ¶60 "Smoke?", ¶62 "Light?". The 8 : 20 imbalance is the phenomenon, not a sampling fault: Hamlin is laconic and Brown is not, and no item is dropped to make the arms even.

Six constructed control items (G1), written by the lead in the same camp diction, three spoken from clearly above and three from clearly below, matched on length (58 against 63 words in total). They are interleaved with the real items in the shuffled order and are indistinguishable to the seats from the rest.

4. Panel and stage structure

Five seats, panel v1, all non-Anthropic (config/models.md): S1 P1, S2 P2, S3 P3, S4 P4, S5 P5. Five is the minimum at which a seat-level sign test can reach 0.05 (1/32 = 0.031); this is why the seat count is five and not four.

stage what calls
R recognition gate, dispatched first — the whole anonymised Hamlin/Brown dialogue, "name the work and the author, or say you do not know" 5
A the rating stage — 34 items (28 real + 6 control), one item per call, no dialogue context, no speaker attribution, no other item visible 170

Stage A is dispatched only if stage R passes (§6, G2). One item per call is the note-(blf) shape: every answer is a small JSON object, so the token cap is never approached and no answer can be truncated into a lost body.

Scale-direction counterbalance, registered: seats S1, S3, S5 receive the scale as written below; seats S2, S4 receive it reversed, and their ratings are re-flipped (8 − x) in analysis before any statistic is computed.

The scale

Considering only this line, and nothing you may guess about who is speaking: how does the speaker place himself in relation to the person he is speaking to?

The anchors name the dimension and do not name superiority or inferiority as good or bad (RS-20260809d's critic amendment A4, carried forward).

5. What is predicted, and by whom

Registered before dispatch. The direction is taken from the frozen translator's log (§1 of T-brown-calaveras-R06-v1), which set out the warrant for an asymmetric grid — Brown's begging, his "Fact, sir", his taking of orders — and then wrote a symmetric one anyway.

Registered direction: Brown's turns score HIGHER (more "below") than Hamlin's.

6. Quantities, bars and gates — all registered before dispatch

id quantity registered bar if it fails
G2 recognition: seats naming the work ("Brown of Calaveras") 0 of 5 (tightened by amendment A1) stage A is not dispatched and P1 is not measured
G2a seats naming the author but not the work reported as a limit; does not fire —
G1 mean(constructed-below) − mean(constructed-above), per seat ≥ 2.50, and in the registered direction on 5 of 5 seats P1 is WITHHELD — the instrument is blind
F1 answers quoting 3–8 words verbatim from the rated line ≥ 0.90 reported as a limit
P1 mean(Brown items) − mean(Hamlin items), averaged over seats ≥ 1.50, 5 of 5 seats in the registered direction (sign test P = 0.031), and one-sided Mann–Whitney U over the 28 items on seat-mean ratings at P ≤ 0.05 the null is reported as measured
P1b the same difference, secondary bar (added by amendment A4) ≥ 0.75, 5 of 5 seats, U-test P ≤ 0.05 licenses only the weaker statement in §7
P2 the same difference on the length-matched subset ≥ 1.00 and in the registered direction P1 is reported as not separable from length, and no claim about the source is made
P2b the same difference on items of ≤ 10 words only (added by amendment A3) reported, direction registered second look at length
P3 Spearman ρ between item word count and seat-mean rating reported, no bar context for P2

The length-matching algorithm, declared here so it cannot be chosen afterwards. Each of the 8 Hamlin items is paired with the not-yet-used Brown item nearest to it in word count (ties broken by the lower item index); this yields 8 pairs, and P2 is the mean within-pair difference. The pairing is computed by analyse.py from word counts alone and does not look at any rating.

No gate is weakened after it fires, and no seat is dropped. RS-20260809d recorded that dropping one seat would have passed its gate and did not drop it; the same rule holds here.

7. Failure criteria, stated as such

8. Cost

Worst case built from max_tokens and not from an expected answer length (note (abc)): stage A is 170 calls at a 400-token cap and ~450 prompt tokens; stage R is 5 calls at ~4,000 prompt tokens; one critic pass. Declared ceiling: $1.00. Today's UTC ledger is empty at the time of freezing.

9. Verification

verify.py recomputes every reported number from the raw bodies in runs/, independently of analyse.py, including the scale re-flip, the length pairing, the exact sign-test probability and a closed-form check of the Mann–Whitney P; and runs mutation tests that must be caught.

10. Amendments accepted from the pre-run critic

Pre-run critic mistralai/mistral-medium-3-5, one pass over this design and the built items, VERDICT: NEEDS-REDESIGN, 8 findings, 4 BLOCKING. Raw at runs/critic.txt, prompt at runs/critic-prompt.txt, cost $0.0139305. Four findings accepted, four overruled in writing. Everything below was done before any rating call was dispatched.

A1 — accepted (BLOCKING 1). G2's bar is tightened from ≤ 1 of 5 to 0 of 5 naming the work, and split: naming the author without the work is reported as a limit and does not fire, because the halo the gate exists to exclude requires knowing who says what in this story, which recognising Harte's dialect does not supply. The critic's stated reason (false positives from the substituted names) is not the reason; the reason is that with a 5-of-5 sign test one seat that knows the story can carry the primary.

A2 — accepted (BLOCKING 2). The G1 controls are doubled, 6 above and 6 below, written before dispatch and interleaved by the same declared hash order. Items: 40 (28 real + 12 control); stage A becomes 200 calls.

A3 — accepted (SERIOUS 3), as an addition rather than a replacement. P2b is added: the difference restricted to items of ≤ 10 words, the band where both speakers have several items, reported alongside the pairwise-matched P2. The critic's proposal — match all 28 items — is not adopted because 20 Brown items cannot be matched to 8 Hamlin items without discarding twelve of them, which is a larger distortion than the one it repairs.

A4 — accepted (BLOCKING 7). The 1.50 bar is kept as the registered primary, because it is RS-20260809d's bar and comparability with the withheld predecessor is the point; but a secondary bar P1b at ≥ 0.75 is registered now, before dispatch, so that a real-but-smaller asymmetry is not thrown away and the goalpost cannot be moved afterwards. Which bar was met is reported explicitly.

Overruled, with reasons

SERIOUS 4 — "the scale anchors are asymmetric". They mirror pairwise and the mirror is why they were written that way: commanding ↔ submitting, granting ↔ asking to be granted, dismissing ↔ appealing, laying down what will happen ↔ deferring. Overruled unchanged.

MINOR 5 — "include the one-word turns". The two-word floor was declared before the items were cut. Relaxing it now would add four items — "Nothing", "Yes", "Smoke?", "Light?" — all four of them Hamlin's, and all four peremptory, i.e. a change that can only move the result toward the registered direction. Overruled for that reason, which is recorded so it can be checked.

MINOR 6 — "counterbalance only 2 of 5". The design already splits 3 forward / 2 reversed (§4). Misreading; overruled.

SERIOUS 8 — "F1 is a red herring". F1 is not a comprehension check. It is a compliance check that the answer came back against the item that was sent, which is the failure this one-item-per-call shape is otherwise blind to. Overruled.

Consequence for §8

The ceiling is raised from $1.00 to $1.20 to cover the 30 extra calls A2 adds. Today's UTC ledger is empty; the raise is written here before dispatch, not after the outturn.